Direction probability
Chance of an up close
Bearish ≤45%NeutralBullish ≥55%
Probabilistic equity research
SOXX: next-session direction, model probability, component agreement and API-supplied risk levels.
Horizon: Next trading session · Updated:
Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. Values appear only when supplied by the HPSILab API.
Direction probability
Model comparison
Risk / reward range
Compare ensemble, random forest and logistic regression probabilities. Agreement can increase confidence, but correlated models do not create certainty.
A 60% up probability means an estimated 60% chance of an up close for the stated horizon. It does not mean a 60% price gain.
Current sentiment score: 0.52. Sentiment is one input and can reverse quickly around news or market events.