Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $594.99 in the next 10 days ≈ 6.52%
Probabilistic scenario research
SOXX Monte Carlo Forecast
SOXX: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates — not a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: 10 trading days · Updated:
SOXX simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $464.08
- Threshold
- $594.99
- Resistance
- $594.99
- Mean terminal price
- $522.48
- Median terminal price
- $520.52
- Lower bound
- $450.11
- Upper bound
- $601.69
- Probability below threshold
- 93.48%
- Probability above threshold
- 6.52%
- Simulation volatility
- 2.8%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 14.23
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $450.11 to $601.69, with support at $464.08 and resistance at $594.99. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 6.52% above and 93.48% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.