Model agreement
Compare ensemble, random forest and logistic regression probabilities. Agreement can increase confidence, but correlated models do not create certainty.
Probabilistic equity research
SMH AI Stock Prediction
SMH: next-session direction, model probability, component agreement and API-supplied risk levels.
Horizon: Next trading session · Updated:
SMH prediction snapshot
Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. Values appear only when supplied by the HPSILab API.
- AI signal
- Bullish
- Up probability
- 56.86%
- Last close
- $545.46
- RF probability
- 61.78%
- LR probability
- 52.82%
- Daily volatility
- 3.23%
- Suggested stop loss
- $527.83
- Suggested take profit
- $571.91
Probability is not return
A 60% up probability means an estimated 60% chance of an up close for the stated horizon. It does not mean a 60% price gain.
Sentiment context
Current sentiment score: 0.36. Sentiment is one input and can reverse quickly around news or market events.