Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $35.72 in the next 10 days ≈ 3.84%
Probabilistic scenario research
UPST Monte Carlo Forecast
UPST: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates — not a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: 10 trading days · Updated:
UPST simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $25.89
- Threshold
- $35.72
- Resistance
- $35.72
- Mean terminal price
- $28.2
- Median terminal price
- $27.97
- Lower bound
- $22.28
- Upper bound
- $35.17
- Probability below threshold
- 96.16%
- Probability above threshold
- 3.84%
- Simulation volatility
- 4.44%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 1.31
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $22.28 to $35.17, with support at $25.89 and resistance at $35.72. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 3.84% above and 96.16% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.