Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $204.55 in the next 10 days ≈ 9.98%
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Probabilistic scenario research
SOXL Monte Carlo Forecast
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates — not a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: 10 trading days · Updated:
SOXL simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $91.5
- Threshold
- $204.55
- Resistance
- $204.55
- Mean terminal price
- $151.13
- Median terminal price
- $146.4
- Lower bound
- $93.52
- Upper bound
- $224.26
- Probability below threshold
- 90.02%
- Probability above threshold
- 9.98%
- Simulation volatility
- 8.43%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 11.79
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $93.52 to $224.26, with support at $91.5 and resistance at $204.55. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 9.98% above and 90.02% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.