Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $745.45 in the next 10 days ≈ 10.56%
Probabilistic scenario research
QQQ Monte Carlo Forecast
Invesco QQQ Trust: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates窶馬ot a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: Pending ﾂｷ Updated:
QQQ simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $700.91
- Threshold
- $745.45
- Resistance
- $745.45
- Mean terminal price
- $712.6
- Median terminal price
- $712.6
- Lower bound
- $670.26
- Upper bound
- $756.3
- Probability below threshold
- 89.44%
- Probability above threshold
- 10.56%
- Simulation volatility
- 1.18%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 8.33
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $670.26 to $756.3, with support at $700.91 and resistance at $745.45. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 10.56% above and 89.44% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.