Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $584.73 in the next 10 days ≈ 19.44%
Probabilistic scenario research
AMD Monte Carlo Forecast
Advanced Micro Devices: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates窶馬ot a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: Pending ﾂｷ Updated:
AMD simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $491.8
- Threshold
- $584.73
- Resistance
- $584.73
- Mean terminal price
- $524.21
- Median terminal price
- $518.3
- Lower bound
- $414.23
- Upper bound
- $649.6
- Probability below threshold
- 80.56%
- Probability above threshold
- 19.44%
- Simulation volatility
- 4.27%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 21.41
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $414.23 to $649.6, with support at $491.8 and resistance at $584.73. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 19.44% above and 80.56% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.