Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $374.26 in the next 10 days ≈ 59.46%
Probabilistic scenario research
VTI Monte Carlo Forecast
VTI: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates — not a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: 10 trading days · Updated:
VTI simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $360.2
- Threshold
- $374.26
- Resistance
- $374.26
- Mean terminal price
- $376.7
- Median terminal price
- $376.7
- Lower bound
- $360.58
- Upper bound
- $393.35
- Probability below threshold
- 40.54%
- Probability above threshold
- 59.46%
- Simulation volatility
- 0.82%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 3.07
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $360.58 to $393.35, with support at $360.2 and resistance at $374.26. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 59.46% above and 40.54% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.