Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $432.86 in the next 10 days ≈ 13.40%
Probabilistic scenario research
TSLA Monte Carlo Forecast
Tesla: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates窶馬ot a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: Pending ﾂｷ Updated:
TSLA simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $368.6
- Threshold
- $432.86
- Resistance
- $432.86
- Mean terminal price
- $393.95
- Median terminal price
- $393.03
- Lower bound
- $339.78
- Upper bound
- $453.72
- Probability below threshold
- 86.6%
- Probability above threshold
- 13.4%
- Simulation volatility
- 2.81%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 10.99
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $339.78 to $453.72, with support at $368.6 and resistance at $432.86. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 13.4% above and 86.6% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.