Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $32.59 in the next 10 days ≈ 16.82%
Probabilistic scenario research
SMCI Monte Carlo Forecast
SMCI: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates — not a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: 10 trading days · Updated:
SMCI simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $23.38
- Threshold
- $32.59
- Resistance
- $32.59
- Mean terminal price
- $27.82
- Median terminal price
- $27.43
- Lower bound
- $20.22
- Upper bound
- $36.81
- Probability below threshold
- 83.18%
- Probability above threshold
- 16.82%
- Simulation volatility
- 5.87%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 1.68
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $20.22 to $36.81, with support at $23.38 and resistance at $32.59. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 16.82% above and 83.18% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.