Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $14.98 in the next 10 days ≈ 0.38%
Probabilistic scenario research
RDW Monte Carlo Forecast
Redwire: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates窶馬ot a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: Pending ﾂｷ Updated:
RDW simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $8.36
- Threshold
- $14.98
- Resistance
- $14.98
- Mean terminal price
- $8.16
- Median terminal price
- $7.92
- Lower bound
- $5.39
- Upper bound
- $11.7
- Probability below threshold
- 99.62%
- Probability above threshold
- 0.38%
- Simulation volatility
- 7.42%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 0.63
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $5.39 to $11.7, with support at $8.36 and resistance at $14.98. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 0.38% above and 99.62% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.