Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $13.22 in the next 10 days ≈ 44.86%
Probabilistic scenario research
PATH Monte Carlo Forecast
PATH: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates — not a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: 10 trading days · Updated:
PATH simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $10.16
- Threshold
- $13.22
- Resistance
- $13.22
- Mean terminal price
- $13.13
- Median terminal price
- $12.98
- Lower bound
- $10.55
- Upper bound
- $16.22
- Probability below threshold
- 55.14%
- Probability above threshold
- 44.86%
- Simulation volatility
- 4.08%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 0.53
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $10.55 to $16.22, with support at $10.16 and resistance at $13.22. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 44.86% above and 55.14% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.