Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $149.07 in the next 10 days ≈ 27.72%
Probabilistic scenario research
ORCL Monte Carlo Forecast
ORCL: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates — not a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: 10 trading days · Updated:
ORCL simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $114.5
- Threshold
- $149.07
- Resistance
- $149.07
- Mean terminal price
- $138.78
- Median terminal price
- $137.88
- Lower bound
- $111.26
- Upper bound
- $169.37
- Probability below threshold
- 72.28%
- Probability above threshold
- 27.72%
- Simulation volatility
- 4.04%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 5.74
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $111.26 to $169.37, with support at $114.5 and resistance at $149.07. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 27.72% above and 72.28% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.