Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $132.42 in the next 10 days ≈ 0.12%
Probabilistic scenario research
ON Monte Carlo Forecast
onsemi: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates窶馬ot a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: Pending ﾂｷ Updated:
ON simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $86.47
- Threshold
- $132.42
- Resistance
- $132.42
- Mean terminal price
- $89.41
- Median terminal price
- $88.56
- Lower bound
- $71.95
- Upper bound
- $110
- Probability below threshold
- 99.88%
- Probability above threshold
- 0.12%
- Simulation volatility
- 4.04%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 3.56
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $71.95 to $110, with support at $86.47 and resistance at $132.42. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 0.12% above and 99.88% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.