Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $213.99 in the next 10 days ≈ 35.12%
Probabilistic scenario research
NVDA Monte Carlo Forecast
NVIDIA: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates窶馬ot a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: Pending ﾂｷ Updated:
NVDA simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $189.8
- Threshold
- $213.99
- Resistance
- $213.99
- Mean terminal price
- $208.9
- Median terminal price
- $208.28
- Lower bound
- $185.82
- Upper bound
- $233.93
- Probability below threshold
- 64.88%
- Probability above threshold
- 35.12%
- Simulation volatility
- 2.25%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 4.67
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $185.82 to $233.93, with support at $189.8 and resistance at $213.99. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 35.12% above and 64.88% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.