Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $491.64 in the next 10 days ≈ 40.98%
Probabilistic scenario research
MSFT Monte Carlo Forecast
MSFT: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates — not a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: 10 trading days · Updated:
MSFT simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $373.35
- Threshold
- $491.64
- Resistance
- $491.64
- Mean terminal price
- $486.22
- Median terminal price
- $485.31
- Lower bound
- $437.77
- Upper bound
- $539.78
- Probability below threshold
- 59.02%
- Probability above threshold
- 40.98%
- Simulation volatility
- 1.99%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 9.72
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $437.77 to $539.78, with support at $373.35 and resistance at $491.64. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 40.98% above and 59.02% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.