Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $1594.81 in the next 10 days ≈ 4.66%
Probabilistic scenario research
MPWR Monte Carlo Forecast
Monolithic Power Systems: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates窶馬ot a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: Pending ﾂｷ Updated:
MPWR simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $1,232.04
- Threshold
- $1,594.81
- Resistance
- $1,594.81
- Mean terminal price
- $1,336.48
- Median terminal price
- $1,326.27
- Lower bound
- $1,118.9
- Upper bound
- $1,587.19
- Probability below threshold
- 95.34%
- Probability above threshold
- 4.66%
- Simulation volatility
- 3.32%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 43.34
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $1,118.9 to $1,587.19, with support at $1,232.04 and resistance at $1,594.81. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 4.66% above and 95.34% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.