Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $686.08 in the next 10 days ≈ 1.74%
Probabilistic scenario research
META Monte Carlo Forecast
META: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates — not a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: 10 trading days · Updated:
META simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $524.49
- Threshold
- $686.08
- Resistance
- $686.08
- Mean terminal price
- $583.73
- Median terminal price
- $582.45
- Lower bound
- $510.23
- Upper bound
- $662.21
- Probability below threshold
- 98.26%
- Probability above threshold
- 1.74%
- Simulation volatility
- 2.43%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 14.32
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $510.23 to $662.21, with support at $524.49 and resistance at $686.08. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 1.74% above and 98.26% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.