Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $373.33 in the next 10 days ≈ 40.96%
Probabilistic scenario research
MDB Monte Carlo Forecast
MDB: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates — not a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: 10 trading days · Updated:
MDB simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $291.79
- Threshold
- $373.33
- Resistance
- $373.33
- Mean terminal price
- $364.66
- Median terminal price
- $361.07
- Lower bound
- $285.52
- Upper bound
- $454.43
- Probability below threshold
- 59.04%
- Probability above threshold
- 40.96%
- Simulation volatility
- 4.53%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 16.22
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $285.52 to $454.43, with support at $291.79 and resistance at $373.33. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 40.96% above and 59.04% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.