Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $104.03 in the next 10 days ≈ 0.56%
Probabilistic scenario research
MCHP Monte Carlo Forecast
Microchip Technology: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates窶馬ot a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: Pending ﾂｷ Updated:
MCHP simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $80.85
- Threshold
- $104.03
- Resistance
- $104.03
- Mean terminal price
- $81.98
- Median terminal price
- $81.62
- Lower bound
- $69.83
- Upper bound
- $95.25
- Probability below threshold
- 99.44%
- Probability above threshold
- 0.56%
- Simulation volatility
- 2.96%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 2.42
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $69.83 to $95.25, with support at $80.85 and resistance at $104.03. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 0.56% above and 99.44% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.