Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $23.92 in the next 10 days ≈ 0.44%
Probabilistic scenario research
LUNR Monte Carlo Forecast
Intuitive Machines: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates窶馬ot a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: Pending ﾂｷ Updated:
LUNR simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $13.36
- Threshold
- $23.92
- Resistance
- $23.92
- Mean terminal price
- $13.51
- Median terminal price
- $13.18
- Lower bound
- $9.22
- Upper bound
- $18.9
- Probability below threshold
- 99.56%
- Probability above threshold
- 0.44%
- Simulation volatility
- 6.91%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 0.93
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $9.22 to $18.9, with support at $13.36 and resistance at $23.92. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 0.44% above and 99.56% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.