Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $299.97 in the next 10 days ≈ 47.38%
Probabilistic scenario research
IWM Monte Carlo Forecast
IWM: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates — not a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: 10 trading days · Updated:
IWM simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $287.83
- Threshold
- $299.97
- Resistance
- $299.97
- Mean terminal price
- $299.59
- Median terminal price
- $299.19
- Lower bound
- $281.18
- Upper bound
- $318.67
- Probability below threshold
- 52.62%
- Probability above threshold
- 47.38%
- Simulation volatility
- 1.21%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 3.59
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $281.18 to $318.67, with support at $287.83 and resistance at $299.97. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 47.38% above and 52.62% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.