Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $57.18 in the next 10 days ≈ 6.96%
Probabilistic scenario research
IRDM Monte Carlo Forecast
Iridium Communications: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates窶馬ot a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: Pending ﾂｷ Updated:
IRDM simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $40.6
- Threshold
- $57.18
- Resistance
- $57.18
- Mean terminal price
- $47.34
- Median terminal price
- $47.01
- Lower bound
- $37.49
- Upper bound
- $58.26
- Probability below threshold
- 93.04%
- Probability above threshold
- 6.96%
- Simulation volatility
- 4.32%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 2.01
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $37.49 to $58.26, with support at $40.6 and resistance at $57.18. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 6.96% above and 93.04% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.