Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $81.78 in the next 10 days ≈ 52.16%
Probabilistic scenario research
GSAT Monte Carlo Forecast
Globalstar: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates窶馬ot a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: Pending ﾂｷ Updated:
GSAT simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $78.84
- Threshold
- $81.78
- Resistance
- $81.78
- Mean terminal price
- $83.06
- Median terminal price
- $82.39
- Lower bound
- $65.68
- Upper bound
- $103.41
- Probability below threshold
- 47.84%
- Probability above threshold
- 52.16%
- Simulation volatility
- 4.28%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 3.41
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $65.68 to $103.41, with support at $78.84 and resistance at $81.78. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 52.16% above and 47.84% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.