Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $383.60 in the next 10 days ≈ 32.40%
Probabilistic scenario research
GLD Monte Carlo Forecast
GLD: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates — not a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: 10 trading days · Updated:
GLD simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $363.6
- Threshold
- $383.6
- Resistance
- $383.6
- Mean terminal price
- $374.22
- Median terminal price
- $373.84
- Lower bound
- $341.07
- Upper bound
- $409.02
- Probability below threshold
- 67.6%
- Probability above threshold
- 32.4%
- Simulation volatility
- 1.79%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 6.64
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $341.07 to $409.02, with support at $363.6 and resistance at $383.6. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 32.4% above and 67.6% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.