Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $217.50 in the next 10 days ≈ 28.40%
Probabilistic scenario research
CRWD Monte Carlo Forecast
CRWD: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates — not a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: 10 trading days · Updated:
CRWD simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $174.14
- Threshold
- $217.5
- Resistance
- $217.5
- Mean terminal price
- $206.86
- Median terminal price
- $206.2
- Lower bound
- $175.76
- Upper bound
- $239.81
- Probability below threshold
- 71.6%
- Probability above threshold
- 28.4%
- Simulation volatility
- 3.02%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 6.11
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $175.76 to $239.81, with support at $174.14 and resistance at $217.5. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 28.4% above and 71.6% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.