Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $439.68 in the next 10 days ≈ 0.34%
Probabilistic scenario research
COHR Monte Carlo Forecast
Coherent: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates窶馬ot a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: Pending ﾂｷ Updated:
COHR simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $273.87
- Threshold
- $439.68
- Resistance
- $439.68
- Mean terminal price
- $288.76
- Median terminal price
- $284.77
- Lower bound
- $221.96
- Upper bound
- $367.85
- Probability below threshold
- 99.66%
- Probability above threshold
- 0.34%
- Simulation volatility
- 4.89%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 13.56
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $221.96 to $367.85, with support at $273.87 and resistance at $439.68. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 0.34% above and 99.66% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.