Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $1999.96 in the next 10 days ≈ 19.24%
Probabilistic scenario research
ASML Monte Carlo Forecast
ASML Holding: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates窶馬ot a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: Pending ﾂｷ Updated:
ASML simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $1,717.31
- Threshold
- $1,999.96
- Resistance
- $1,999.96
- Mean terminal price
- $1,853.9
- Median terminal price
- $1,846.15
- Lower bound
- $1,589.98
- Upper bound
- $2,133.87
- Probability below threshold
- 80.76%
- Probability above threshold
- 19.24%
- Simulation volatility
- 2.83%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 50.42
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $1,589.98 to $2,133.87, with support at $1,717.31 and resistance at $1,999.96. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 19.24% above and 80.76% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.