Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $452.70 in the next 10 days ≈ 0.00%
Probabilistic scenario research
ARM Monte Carlo Forecast
Arm Holdings: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates窶馬ot a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: Pending ﾂｷ Updated:
ARM simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $252.61
- Threshold
- $452.7
- Resistance
- $452.7
- Mean terminal price
- $267.95
- Median terminal price
- $265.54
- Lower bound
- $209.85
- Upper bound
- $334.84
- Probability below threshold
- 100%
- Probability above threshold
- 0%
- Simulation volatility
- 4.52%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 11.84
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $209.85 to $334.84, with support at $252.61 and resistance at $452.7. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 0% above and 100% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.