Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $739.67 in the next 10 days ≈ 1.66%
Probabilistic scenario research
AMAT Monte Carlo Forecast
Applied Materials: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates窶馬ot a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: Pending ﾂｷ Updated:
AMAT simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $527.63
- Threshold
- $739.67
- Resistance
- $739.67
- Mean terminal price
- $585.08
- Median terminal price
- $580.8
- Lower bound
- $485
- Upper bound
- $700.14
- Probability below threshold
- 98.34%
- Probability above threshold
- 1.66%
- Simulation volatility
- 3.52%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 19.75
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $485 to $700.14, with support at $527.63 and resistance at $739.67. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 1.66% above and 98.34% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.