Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $445.91 in the next 10 days ≈ 1.86%
Probabilistic scenario research
ADI Monte Carlo Forecast
Analog Devices: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates窶馬ot a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: Pending ﾂｷ Updated:
ADI simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $371.09
- Threshold
- $445.91
- Resistance
- $445.91
- Mean terminal price
- $387.26
- Median terminal price
- $386.55
- Lower bound
- $344.37
- Upper bound
- $433
- Probability below threshold
- 98.14%
- Probability above threshold
- 1.86%
- Simulation volatility
- 2.21%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 8.39
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $344.37 to $433, with support at $371.09 and resistance at $445.91. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 1.86% above and 98.14% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.