Simulation interpretation
Probability of stock price exceeding $344.57 in the next 10 days ≈ 1.44%
Probabilistic scenario research
AAPL Monte Carlo Forecast
AAPL: a distribution of modeled outcomes, probability ranges and tail-risk estimates — not a single deterministic price target.
Horizon: 10 trading days · Updated:
AAPL simulated outcome snapshot
All figures depend on model assumptions and input data. Only verified API results are displayed.
- Support
- $300
- Threshold
- $344.57
- Resistance
- $344.57
- Mean terminal price
- $308.21
- Median terminal price
- $307.84
- Lower bound
- $282.62
- Upper bound
- $335.3
- Probability below threshold
- 98.56%
- Probability above threshold
- 1.44%
- Simulation volatility
- 1.63%
- Tomorrow standard deviation
- 4.95
- Simulated paths
- 5,000
Modeled range
The API range is $282.62 to $335.3, with support at $300 and resistance at $344.57. These are modeled levels, not guarantees.
Threshold probability
The model estimates 1.44% above and 98.56% below the stated threshold. Confidence interval input: 0.9.
Model limitations
Results depend on return distribution, volatility, horizon and sampling choices. Structural breaks, gaps and liquidity shocks may not be represented.